5 Tips for Surviving a Bear Market

The crypto market is fully in bear territory now, even though we have seen some relief over the past few days, with Bitcoin and Ethereum rising again, and a number of DeFi project tokens seeing double-digit percentage rise. For many of us in crypto, this is not the first time we’ve been in this position. We know that the market is cyclical, and that this time round macroeconomic influences are more influential, especially with a recession looming.

So, if you’re a crypto holder, what should you do? Should you sell or buy the dip? Or take some other action? Here is some advice from market watchers.

1. Take some profit

HODLing is widespread in the crypto community, but Tyler Reynolds, a Web3 investor advises selling a percentage of your gains at this time, rather than just sitting on your investment, or selling it all. An anonymous trader also said, “Set sell targets/take profit levels in advance, at least loosely, and stick to them. Your objective self from the past is a better guide than your euphoric self in the future.”

2. Do not panic sell

Its better to take some profit, or devise a strategy for exiting the market completely, but don’t panic sell says Fedor Linnik, an NFT builder. He added, “being greedy and being afraid to miss the top” was a mistake he made in 2018. Make your selling decisions based on data, not on emotion or on advice from social media.

3. Don’t try to ‘make it back’

Alex Svanevik, CEO of data analytics firm Nansen, said that those who invested in 2020 and benefited from the highs of 2021, need to realise the fun is over for now. He warns against entering highly risky trades to try and make back losses.  A trader tweeted, “Don’t trade or invest with the mindset of ‘making back’ what you lost in the bull; it’s an inherently flawed comparison.”

4. Research projects

Use this bear market time to look at crypto projects, new or old. Tyler Reynolds said that what worked for him during the last bear market was to keep investigating both new and old projects. “You will need to keep re-investigating as projects pivot from their original idea and find a much better product-market fit, like Aave.”

5. Get involved with crypto projects

Many crypto projects, especially those in DeFi, are structured as decentralized autonomous organizations, or DAOs. Anyone can join and participate, and if you are a developer looking for a job in crypto, it can be a good way of finding one.

Is the NFT market changing?

Non-fungible tokens (NFTs) were the big buzz of 2021. They were billed as a new way for artists to make money, and they were hyped as a major part of building Web3.

However, for the majority of consumers, NFTs were both a puzzle and nothing of consequence for them. The sales figures for NFTs might have skyrocketed fro, $94.9 million to over $23 billion in a 12-month period, but all this apparently helped to do was convince Joe Public that buying NFTs was all about financial gain, and that you needed a substantial amount of money to be an investor.

As a result, there’s still a large amount of scepticism about NFTs, because a large number of people can’t understand their value or how they might bring change. However, those who believe in NFTs, whether they are artists, developers or companies, are aiming to show they can have a real impact on lives by using blockchain technology.

Blockchain advances

Blockchain technology does not stand still, even though some blockchains appear to find upgrades difficult to effect. The upcoming Ethereum merge may prove to be a very important moment as it transitions from proof-of-work to proof-of-stake. This should make its blockchain faster and more efficient. It’s expected in August 2022 and should also reduce Ethereum’s energy consumption by just below 100%.

While the Ethereum merge is an advancement that has yet to occur, it comes concurrently with the growth of the Polygon, Tezos, and Solana blockchains. In early 2021, Ethereum, FLOW, and WAX were seemingly the sole proprietors of the NFT ecosystem. Now, over a year later, the expansion of the NFT market is palpable, ranging across various blockchains.

NFT intellectual property

As the NFT ecosystem itself has expanded, so too has the range of intellectual property (IP) minted on the blockchain. NFTs are a revolutionary way for artists and content creators of all kinds to monetize their IP in a way that simply wasn’t possible before.

Tokens are evolving

Plus, the tokens that house the diverse range of creator content are evolving as well. Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin’s Soulbound Tokens (SBTs) introduced a new era of crypto assets aimed at housing not only the interests and affiliations of a person as it pertains to them as a collector, but a full-fledged individual as well. It sounds weird, and some are referring to them as NFT 2.0, but they could bring a dramatic change to the market when the mainstream comes on board with the concept of a decentralized society, something that is beyond the comprehension of many. However, even if SBTs take a while to take off, they have already played a role in starting a conversation about what NFT technology might look like in the future.

It’s likely that your view of NFTs may depend on who you are, where you live, and the degree to which you’re exposed to new media and tech. The mainstream media has focused on NFT scams etc, just as they have done with cryptocurrencies, but beyond the tabloid headlines at the forefront of the NFT market, exists a vast and expansive ecosystem ranging across industries.

Just because the potential of NFTs is not yet widely understood, this doesn’t mean they should be ignored. Just as it is the case with any new or controversial topic, we must dig deeper to unearth the full scope of the situation.

Reclaiming blockchain technology

For as long as blockchain technology has existed it has played a ‘Cinderella’ role in the cryptocurrency story, the latter being the headline grabber. Any have overlooked the potential of blockchian as an advanced and evolving technology that could have many more uses.

Let’s start with the basics: blockchain is a a distributed database whose information is stored across every node running the network, and because of the distributed factor, it guarantees data stored within it is accurate and securely stored.

With cryptocurrencies, the blockchain guaranteed trust. For example with Bitcoin, one can accurately verify that funds aren’t spent twice, that its supply is limited, and one can see the history of transactions on the network.

Blockchain and supply chains

But as a distributed ledger, blockchain has many more use cases.

Francisco Rodrigues gives the example of IBM partnering with the Abu Dhabi National Oil Company to pilot a blockchain supply system for oil and gas production, while De Beers already uses blockchain to track diamonds on its supply chain.

It is already in use by government agencies and bigger businesses, as Johnny Lyu, CEO of KuCoin points out, saying that the use of blockchain is “commonplace among government agencies and businesses,” and giving the example of the Global Shipping Business Network (GSBN), a consortium that counts on the participation of major institutions including the Bank of China, DBS Bank and HSBC.

Blockchain answers consumer demands

Blockchain has many advantages for some industries, especially food and beverages where consumers demand transparency. Today the average consumer today no longer just cares about what they eat and how it should be cooked, but also considers where ingredients are sourced and how they’re handled. So, blockchain has a big role to play in logistics.

Sankar Krishnan, executive vice-president at Capgemini Financial Services, points out that blockchain technology is also “very ESG friendly,” referring to the environmental, social and governance standards which investors now pay more attention to.

Less room for errors with blockchain

Blockchain use also reduces the amount of data that has to be tracked. Without it every party involved either prints out information or exchanges it via email multiple times; a costly process with the potential for mistakes being made. These issues would be eliminated if transactions were processed on a blockchain.

So, if blockchain has many more use cases than crypto, why is it not more widely used? The brief answer is implementing enterprise-level software technology requires a significant investment. There may also be some stakeholders who are resistant to transparency. Adoption may be only slowly evolving, but its potential to revolutionize how some industries work cannot be ignored. Perhaps one day people will be saying that Satoshi Nakamoto’s best invention was the blockchain, not Bitcoin.

NFT Lending is Trending

A marketplace called NFTfi, which specialises in loans collateralised by NFTs, has seen a surge in lending volume over the last two months. During the weekend of 3rd July, it hit its highest level with $3.5M worth of non-fungible tokens changing hands. However, we have to look deeper to find the real story.

Richard Chen, a general partner at crypto investment firm 1confirmation, took a look at it and discovered something important. Of that $3.5m, the sum of $3.16M was borrowed by just two whale investors, although there are many on crypto Twitter who doubt that it is two people, and suggest it is a single investor.

The ‘two’ investors borrowed 21,500 DAI against a combined collection of 147 CryptoPunk NFTs. The interest rate on the loan is set by a metaverse-based interest rate protocol called MetaStreet, which acted as sole lender for the loans.

NFTfi specialises in short-term loans, with loans lasting 33 days on average. The interest rate on that period of time is around 4%, which equates to 42% per annum. As might be expected, Bored Apes and CryptoPunks dominate the NFTs offered as collateral.

There is now a rumour floating around that this flurry of activity on NFTfi will launch an airdrop for users. Andrew T of wallet analytics firm Nansen tweeted that NFTfi has been quietly raising funds over the last three months, equivalent to $1m in USDC. He tweeted, “Between that and this possible airdrop farming, could be a token on the horizon.” Others aren’t so sure, with some suggesting there is a pattern at play that looks more like money laundering.

NFT lending is soaring

Whatever the truth of that, NFTfi as a business has been doing extraordinarily well in the NFT lending sector. Since it launched in 2020 it has facilitated 13,402 loans worth $217.6m. It even managed to buck the downward trend of the crypto market in 2022, processing a record $48.7M worth of loans in April, although as market conditions became more strained, volume dropped, with only $15.8M worth of loans being taken out during the month of June.

NFTfi’s excellent results over two years have of course prompted other protocols to enter the market. Arcade, which raised $15M in a Series A funding round in December is one of them and has facilitated $25m worth of loans since it went live in January this year.

Emergence of peer-to-protocol lending

Gmoney, a prolific NFT collector, says that while more protocols are coming along that offer peer-to-peer loans backed by NFTs, the next frontier for NFT lending will be “peer-to-protocol lending.” In a podcast with The Defiant, he said, “At the moment, there’s no peer-to-protocol lending, it’s more peer-to-peer. I think the issue that people are trying to solve is how do you make it a peer-to-protocol lending environment… I know a lot of teams are trying to solve this problem.” Indeed, Messari reviews JPEG’d which offers a token-integrated peer-to-protocol approach, and that because of its utility-driven tokenomics, the demand for the JPEG token is correlated with demand to “maximally utilise the platform.” It will be interesting to observe to what extent peer-to-protocol overtakes peer-to-peer NFT lending, and why.