The emergence of Neobanks and Cryptobanks

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There is a neobank called Revolut, which is adding 3,500 people daily to its digital bank because it provides a store for Bitcoin. It doesn’t have a banking licence yet, but that isn’t stopping customers from joining and it has around one million accounts already.

What is a neobank?

A neobank is a concept that blends online banking, mobile apps, digital lending and personal financial management. They are consumer focused, have chatbots and replicate the conventional model of savings, lending and transfers. They don’t need to have a banking licence, nor do they need them, which some may find surprising. According to futurist and Fintech entrepreneur Lex Sokolin, tech statups can build user experiences and API those into financial backends from firms providing bank-as-a-service. He also points out that is exactly what Apple and Intuit did using Green Dot’s bank-as-a-service.

Then came the cryptobanks

The neobanks have been joined by cryptobanks. These replicate the functions of the traditional bank for customers and investors with crypto assets. Sokolin believes that the neobank and cryptobanks will soon blend together. Examples of cryptobanks, which are all retail banks, include Flinu and BABB in the UK, 2gether Bank in Spain and Change Bank in Estonia.

Both the neobanks and cryptobanks have raised money thorugh ICOs. Monza, a neobank poster child, raised €71 million and the cryptobanks are set to raise $150 million this year if some industry predictions prove correct. If the trajectory follows ICO funding in general, we will see the exponential rise in financial institutions dedicated to crypto continue.

Europe is first mover

When you look at the rise of these challenger banks, one noticeable aspect becomes clear; most of them are based in Europe. In fact, the majority have their HQs in the UK. That’s where you’ll find Revolut, Monzo, Pockit, Monese, Atom, Starling Bank and Tandem. The reason that Europe seems to be hosting so many neobanks and cryptobanks, rather than the USA, which might seem the more likely home for them, is that international money transfer in Europe can be priced at nearly zero by the digital banks. This gives these challenger banks an advantage over the conventional banking community. This matter more in Europe than it does in the USA, because markups on credit card use and foreign exchange make travel expensive for Europeans. This doesn’t affect the American consumer to anywhere near the same extent, as the dollar is used throughout the USA, whereas Europe has a greater range of currencies, so neobank and cryptobank services don’t have the same appeal for Americans, who are more focused on personal financial management.

Where next?

Where will they emerge next? It is likely that failing third-world economies will see a rise in the presence of cryptobanks. We have already seen in the last week in Zimbabwe, during the fall of Mugabe, that the people flocked to digital currency because the country’s currency is in such bad shape. It is not the only example of the growing adoption of cryptocurrencies in weaker economies, and we can expect to see much more movement towards crypto in the coming year, with an accompanying demand for institutions that can service customers with crypto assets.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Crypto adoption booms in November 2017

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The last weekend of November 2017 may prove to be an historical point on the cryptocurrrency timeline. It is too early to say just yet how important it will prove to be, as we have seen a number of spikes in investor activity with Bitcoin since it appeared. However, this felt like an important moment and I’m not the only person watching cryptocurrency and other blockchain products who felt the same way.

Jon Buck, one of the expert commentators who I follow, wrote that this period of November signposts the fact that adoption of cryptocurrencie is increasing massively. He even goes so far as to say, “trading numbers from last weekend indicate that the volume of cryptocurrency trades exceeds that of many US equities trading markets.” And, the volume of Bitcoin traded exceeded $5 billion, which was more than business on the Chicago Stock Exchange as well as other exchanges.

It has been quite a dramatic month all round with the “will they, won’t they” situation with Segwit2X, which eventually didn’t happen and then the clash between Bitcoin and Bitcoin Cash. It looked like Bitcoin was going to be the loser, but it came back with some force to inspire renewed confidence in prediction that it will reach $10,000 by the end of the year.

That alone produced a spike in Google search volumes for ‘Bitcoin’ and the exchange Coinbase added another 100,000 users. The increased adoption we are witnessing is placing Bitcoin, Ethereum and Litecoin, which also traded very strongly at the weekend to reach milestone values, even more firmly in the spotlight. Jon Buck commented that it was surprising that the other altcoins had done so well, because a bull run on Bitcoin usually takes money away from the other altcoins and makes their prices drop. Instead we are seeing them growing together and this indicates that new money is flowing into digital currency.

Finally, news just on from Japan reveals that Bitcon has just broken through the 1,000,000 Yen price point. Like the $10,000 in the U.S., this level represents the breaking of a psychological price barrier. Some even believe that the weekend’s BTC bull market started in Japan and reports state that the yen is responsible for an impressive 59.6% of all Bitcoin trades worldwide. The Japanese government exempted BTC from an 8% consumption tax on BTC trading and this has made it very popular with the Japanese people who are now keen to own Bitcoin. Watch Japan, because its behaviour is influencing the global BTC economy. Their bullishness is encouraging others and a $10,000 BTC for Christmas—or even this coming weekend — is pretty much inevitable.

 

 

 

 

Cleaning up ICOs

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This year has been the year of the ICO and whilst these have brought a breath of fresh air into the marketplace of funding startups and other ventures, the speed at which ICOs have gathered momentum has raised some eyebrows and some questions about just how ‘clean’ this new Fintech mechanism is.

There are two sides to the ICO debate: one the one hand it is positive for the innovators who can raise funds through fairly simple token sales and reach a global market. The popularity is clear for all to see, because the funds raised by ICOs grew from $200 million in 2016 to $2 billion in 2017.

On the negative side, there are those who are concerned about the lack of regulatory controls over these ICOs. That is one reason the mainstream financial authorities are reluctant to accept them as a legitimate method of capitalisation. Add some shady ICOs into the mix and their concerns are understandable.

There are some other issues around ICOs that need to be resolved as well and these involve the technology, which is still in its infancy. Some argue that there are insufficient reporting standards, no exchange regulation and little or no regulation in a number of countries. The result is a clash of standards when those entities using conventional financial systems start adopting the blockchain.

Resolving ICO problems

How can these issues be resolved? There are several ways to solve the transparency problem. One is to define standards of reporting for companies using ICOs and it easy for participants to view the internal workings of the ICO via the exchange interface. This will provide investors with more detailed information about the company behind the ICO.

Second, more due diligence by investors is needed. There needs to be a proper assessment of the proposed business models to ensure they are viable. Investors should also be provided with more information about the company’s legal status.

Greater understanding of the financial markets will also help. It is widely agreed that most financial instruments will migrate to the blockchain in the not too distant future and preference should be given to projects that are using time-tested instruments and are understood by conventional investors, over experimental utility token economy models.

A clean up of the ICO marketplace is needed, because they are not going to disappear. Governments may try to ban or restrict them, but decentralisation is the way forward and rather than ignore ICOs and pretend they are some kind of digital bubble, what is required is a “clean investment system.”

However, this cannot come from central authorities, because that would betray the whole basis of the blockchain, which is decentralisation. What is required is that the companies and investors involved in the ICO market “embrace systems that will promote credibility within the ecosystem,” as CoinTelegraph suggests. Transparency and openness from the company side, and more in-depth research by investors will greatly contribute to a more legitimate and trustworthy ICO marketplace.

 

 

 

 

A shift in the ICO landscape

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There is no doubt that the ICO landscape is changing these days. As a Coin Telegraph writer pointed out, some 75% of recent ICOs have failed to reach their soft cap, which is indicative of an important turnaround in this sector. One of its effects is to squeeze out the scammers and introduce a new generation of ICOs that go way beyond the need to simply raise money for a startup.

According to Nick Ayton, a London-based Fintech journalist, there are “several forces shaping the ICO market.” He is right to point out that 2017 has been the year that the ICO really took off, but like many he is curious about what 2018 will bring. Will it be very different? For example, will ICOs get bigger in terms of the deal, but fewer in number? And, will the pre-ICO sale be a thing of the past?

There are lots of factors to consider. For a start, Bitcoin has had a rocky few months over the Segwit2X fork, now abandoned, and Ethereum seems to be still trying to work out how to handle scalability for all the ICOs that are using its network. But, crypto is still gaining ground and Ayton predicts that it will reach a $500 million market cap early on in 2018.

ICOs overtake venture capital

In October 2017, ICOs reached a peak number and overtook venture capital as a source of funding. However, just to put this into some perspective, it must also be remembered that some ICO funds were hacked and money stolen (CoinDash is one example) and some ICOs have had to return money to token buyers, because the project didn’t meet its soft cap. There has been a lot of discussion over just how many ICOs were scams, which has inevitably led to the arrival of regulation.

The arrival of regulations

It is fair to say that ICOs must now consider not only existing banking and payment regulations, they are aware that there are new ones coming down the pipeline, although quite what they will be nobody knows, which is another issue. Some governments, particularly in southeast Asia want to ban ICOs, whilst others are embracing them, like Russia and Japan.

Places like the UK are keeping their powder dry. We’re not sure how it will position itself on ICOs in 2018, although it already has a regulatory framework in place with its eMoney Laws and Collective Investment Scheme rules. We do know that the FCA has created a sandbox to test out various propositions, and that the USA would love to dictate what happens with crypto worldwide.

ICO costs will explode

One thing we can be fairly certain of is that the ‘bootstrapping’ ICO is coming to an end. In the future, launching an ICO is likely to cost in the region of $250k – $500k, which is a price that will